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Holy Trinity macro feeds

Direct government macroeconomic feeds from FRED, BLS, and the U.S. Treasury — synthesized into real-time yield curve spreads, inflation trajectories, and liquidity metrics.

Track the 10Y–2Y yield curve spread, Fed Funds Rate, CPI, Non-Farm Payrolls, and Treasury General Account (TGA) liquidity to gauge regime shifts before they impact equity valuations.

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What it covers

What this capability surfaces

A grounded list of the features and outputs the matching workspace surface delivers today. Each row below maps directly to the corresponding element of the live product — nothing is aspirational or invented.

Illustrative Capability View
  1. 01
    Yield Curve & Rates

    10Y and 2Y Treasury yields, 10Y–2Y spread (+43 bps), and Fed Funds Rate directly from the Federal Reserve (FRED).

  2. 02
    Labor & Consumer

    Unemployment rate (3.9%) and Non-Farm Payrolls directly from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

  3. 03
    Fiscal & Liquidity

    Daily U.S. Treasury debt to penny, average interest rates, and Treasury cash balance (TGA) from Fiscal Data.

  4. 04
    Regime Classification

    Real-time regime indicators (Positive, Neutral, Negative) across Rates, Inflation, Labor, and Global risk.

  5. 05
    VIX & Volatility

    CBOE Volatility Index (14.32) and market stress metrics updated continuously throughout the trading day.

How it works

Inputs, analysis, outputs

A high-level description of how the capability goes from raw inputs to the outputs you see inside the workspace.

  1. 01Step 1

    Ingestion

    Direct API aggregation across FRED (St. Louis Fed), BLS (Labor Statistics), and U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data.

  2. 02Step 2

    Synthesis

    Automated computation of the 10Y–2Y spread, inflation deceleration trends, and liquidity absorption rates.

  3. 03Step 3

    Regime Mapping

    Signals are classified into actionable macro regimes to guide sector rotation and portfolio duration stance.

Illustrative Workspace View

See it in the workspace

Live government macroeconomic feeds across FRED, BLS, and the U.S. Treasury synthesized in the Vantage Macro Signals workspace.

Holy Trinity macro feeds

Illustrative workspace preview
Vantage Macro Signals dashboard showing live rates, inflation, labor, and fiscal indicators.

Illustrative workspace view. Data and labels are shown for demonstration and research context only.

Example outputs

What a typical result looks like

Illustrative examples showing the kind of labels and values the workspace surface produces. Numbers shown are placeholders, not live recommendations.

  • Illustrative10Y–2Y Yield Curve Spread+43 bps · Late-Cycle Compression
  • IllustrativeFed Funds Rate3.63% · Target Hold Regime
  • IllustrativeCore CPI YoY2.6% · Disinflation Trend
  • IllustrativeCBOE VIX14.32 · Low Stress Regime
  • IllustrativeTreasury Cash BalanceTGA Liquidity Neutral

Example values shown above are illustrative. The workspace always displays real values where the underlying data source is available.

ILLUSTRATIVE WORKSPACE SNAPSHOT

Government data feeds

Three official U.S. government data pipelines synchronized in real time without third-party delay.

Rates & liquidity profile

Monetary policy and yield curve dynamics driving capital costs.

  • 10Y–2Y Curve+43 bps · Positive
  • Fed Funds Rate3.63% · Stable
  • IG Credit Spread96 bps · Tight
  • VIX Volatility14.32 · Risk-On

Signals computed against historical 10-year percentile distributions.

Inflation & employment

Macro fundamentals establishing consumer demand health.

  • CPI YoY3.3% · Moderating
  • Unemployment3.9% · Full Employment
  • Non-Farm Payrolls+212K · Resilient

BLS monthly releases cross-referenced with Treasury liquidity flows.

Illustrative research context only. It is not personalized investment advice, a recommendation, a price target, or a guarantee of future results.

All indicators source directly from official government endpoints and are accessible inside the Macro Signals workspace.

Use it responsibly

Limitations and responsible-use disclosures

  • Macroeconomic indicators reflect aggregate economic data published on historical cadences and do not predict exact market turning points.
  • Government data releases are subject to revisions and reporting delays by publishing agencies (FRED, BLS, Treasury).
  • Macro regimes should be used as background context for asset allocation and risk management, not standalone trade triggers.

This product provides information and research tools and does not provide personalized investment advice. Markets involve risk and losses are possible. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and the associated risk. Independently review any data, AI output, or rating before acting on it.

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